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Islamic Finance
GCC banks to witness 5-6% credit growth in 2026, says S&P

Banks across the GCC are expected to record an average credit growth of 5%-6% as the Iran-US conflict continues to affect the operating environment of financial institutions across the region. 

Meanwhile, lenders across Saudi Arabia and the UAE are expected to record stronger, high-single-digit credit growth rates, S&P Global Ratings said in its recent report. 

The region saw domestic private-sector credit grow at an annualized rate of 8% as of end-March, factoring in impact from just one month of the conflict. Countries such as Qatar and Saudi Arabia saw more significant slowdowns than the others from their 2025 growth rates. 

Non-performing loans across Gulf banks have remained stable at 2.6% as of March 31, the report said. However, more than half of the region’s top 50 banks, particularly UAE-based lenders, reported an increased cost of risk, stepping up provisioning to strengthen credit buffers. 

“We anticipate that the cost of risk will increase by about 20 basis points on average, in 2026. That's because GCC exposures to sectors directly affected by the conflict - tourism, hospitality, and shipping, among other - are limited,” S&P said. 

Higher cost of risk coupled with slower credit expansion will ultimately erode the profitability of Gulf banks in 2026/27, despite support from stable interest rates and improving efficiency. Time deposits continue to represent a little over 50% of customer deposits despite persistent rate declines over previous years. 

Meanwhile, banks’ exposure to the real estate and construction sectors continue to be a source of risk, with Qatar reporting the highest exposure (31% of total credit) as of end-March, followed by Kuwait at 25%, Saudi Arabia at 16%, and Bahrain at 12%. UAE banks have been consistent in drawing their exposure down, from 21% at the end of 2020 to 13% as of March 31.

The agency has issued a caveat regarding a resurge in escalation which could become a substantial drag on economic activity and investor sentiment, resulting in more severe implications for GCC banks. 

“We expect that the banks would be able to withstand the significant level of stress that could materialize through capital outflows or severe asset quality deterioration. That's part of the reason why nearly all of the outlooks on our GCC bank ratings are stable.” 

The MENA region is forecast to contract by 0.5% this year, while Saudi is projected to grow 1.1% in 2026 and 5.5% in 2027, as a result of diversified export routes, the International Monetary Fund said earlier this month. Iran’s 2026 growth projection has been revised upward by 0.7 percentage point from the fund’s April estimate, to –5.4%.

The average Tier 1 capital ratio for the top 50 banks in the region was about 17% at the end of March 2026, according to the S&P study. The UAE Central Bank requires banks to maintain a minimum Tier 1 capital of 8.6% of risk-weighted assets. 
 

Islamic Finance
Religious ruling bills crypto-based purchases impermissible, causes frenzy

A religious ruling has declared the use of cryptocurrencies as a medium of exhange as impermissible, disqualifying the digital currency as wealth. 

The religious directive, more commonly known as fatwa, was issued by Karachi-based Darul Ifta at Jama Darul Uloom and dated June 10, 2026, according to local newspaper Dawn.  

“According to research and opinion of experts so far, cryptocurrency is not considered ‘maal’ (wealth) in Sharia. Instead, it is merely the recording of fictitious numbers in an account, whether in the form of USDT (Tether stablecoin) or other crypto tokens,” the fatwa stated.

The ruling, which cites references from works of religious jurisprudence, includes renowned Islamic scholar Mufti Usmani, a Federal Shariah Court former judge and five prominent scholars as signatories. 

In response to a query regarding purchasing books with cryptocurrency, the ruling said that since the cryptocurrency was not recognised as wealth, the buyer did not technically become the owner of those books through such transactions.

“Therefore, it is not permissible for you to use them or sell them to others. Instead, it is mandatory upon you to return these books to the person from whom you purchased them,” the fatwa added.

Crypto czar Bilal bin Saqib deliberated with the religious scholar amid growing frenzy around the validility of the digital asset.

“We are united on one fundamental objective: protecting Pakistanis from fraud, exploitation, and financial harm,” Saqib, who chairs the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority, wrote on social media platform X. 

Pakistan passed a bill earlier this year to establish a specialised authority to license and regulate digital assets in the country.  

Ashar Nazim, managing director of Aion Digital said that the reasoning underneath the ruling is not built on volatility or speculation, which is the argument you usually hear.

"It rests on a much older question. Does crypto even qualify as maal, as property, under Islamic law. The ruling says no. It calls it a record of notional numbers in an account. Not something you can own in the classical sense, Nazim wrote in a LinkedIn post. 

"What I found genuinely telling is that this is not settled. Pakistan's own virtual assets regulator asked for continued dialogue. Doctrinal questions like this move slower than product roadmaps, and faster than most institutions plan for. If your business touches anything crypto adjacent in an Islamic finance market, this is worth us discussing."

Read: How Shariah compliance will resolve barriers to institutional participation in blockchain staking

Decentralized Islamic finance: A new frontier in digital finance

Islamic Finance
Rate cuts fuel Q1 lending growth for UAE banks

The UAE’s banking sector has recorded strong credit growth and improved asset quality in the first three months of the year, a new study has revealed.

Net loans and advances (L&A) of the UAE’s ten largest listed banks rose 5.8% quarter-on-quarter rise in Q1, while deposits grew 3.8% on the previous quarter. Alvarez & Marsal’s UAE Banking Pulse out this week shows.

Total operating income increased by 7.7% q-on-q to 44.4 billion Emirati dirhams on the back of strong non-interest income, which rose 23.9% quarter-on-quarter, countering the modest 0.3% decline in net interest income following recent interest rate cuts.

The Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates (CBUAE) enacted three interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each in the last 12 months, pummelling the overnight deposit facility base by an aggregate 75 basis points. The overnight deposit facility base rate has been steady at 3.65% since last December.

Net interest margin declined marginally, from 2.47% in the last three months of 2025 to 2.37% in the first three months of the current year. The ratio is a profitability metric that measures a bank’s net interest income expressed as a percentage of its interest-earning assets.

Cost-to-income ratio – which measures the banks’ costs as a proportion of its income - declined to 27.3% in Q1 from Q4’s 29% due to discipline cost management, operating income and tech-led productivity gains, the report said. 

Geopolitical tensions intensified toward the end of the first quarter, which the study warns, have increased uncertainty around lending growth, provisioning requirements, and asset quality heading into Q2. 

Capital adequacy ratio, a core financial metric which expresses how much capital a bank holds compared to its risk-weighted asset base, declined marginally over the previous quarter, from 16.4% in Q4 to 16.2% in the first three months of the year.

Liquidity coverage ratio, which reflects the adequacy of a lender’s high-quality liquid assets to survive a 30-day stress scenario, declined from 147% in Q4 2025 to 142% in the first quarter.

The central bank announced a support package for banks on March 17, under which lenders were permitted to access reserve balances of up to 30% of the cash reserve requirement and availability of term liquidity facilities in dirham and dollar denominations. Lenders could delay the classification of affected customer loans as non-performing. Loan deferrals under the scheme reached $1.68 billion, with support extended to more  than 60,000 individuals, 4,335 SMEs and 485 corporates.

 

Islamic Finance
Abu Dhabi’s BlueFive Capital creates asset management platform via strategic tie-up 

BlueFive Capital, an Abu Dhabi-based asset management firm, has acquired a stake in Sidra Capital, a Shariah-compliant asset manager based in Saudi Arabia, to deepen its presence in the kingdom and expand capabilities. 

Under the terms of the agreement, Jeddah-headquartered Sidra Capital will be rebranded as BlueFiveSidra, creating a Shariah-compliant asset management platform with $3.8 billion in assets under management and regulated presence across Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Singapore. BlueFiveSidra has reported a 50% rise in revenues since 2023, with an average return on equity of 15% over the past five years. 

The acquisition, which was first announced last September, was closed out on June 30, 2026.  

The partnership agreement includes a reciprocal ownership stake, with Saudi Arabia’s Al Murjan Group, whose shareholders own Sidra Capital, acquiring a stake in BlueFive786, BlueFive Capital’s Shariah-compliant investment arm.

The reciprocal structure will give each party economic and governance interest in the other’s Shariah-compliant platform, the company said in a statement. 

Saudi investors will gain access to BlueFive Capital’s product suite, covering private equity, infrastructure, real estate, leasing, and insurance. Meanwhile, BlueFive Capital’s global investor base will gain access to Saudi Arabia’s burgeoning economy via a direct, regulated gateway. 

Details of both transactions, including deal sizes and values, remain undisclosed. 

“Bringing our platforms together under BlueFiveSidra creates a formidable player, one that combines global scale with on-the-ground insight, and one that is perfectly positioned to serve the demand for Shariah-compliant investment solutions across the kingdom and beyond,” said Hazem Ben-Gacem, founder and CEO of BlueFive Capital.

Headquartered in Abu Dhabi, BlueFive Capital, which manages $15 billion in assets, operates offices in London, Manama, Dubai, Beijing, Muscat and Singapore, according to its website.  

 

Islamic Finance
UAE introduces debut retail Treasury sukuk programme

The UAE’s Ministry of Finance has launched its inaugural sovereign retail Treasury sukuk (T-sukuk) programme to broaden participation of retail investors in government investment instruments.   

The government-backed, Shariah-compliant investment instrument offers a minimum subscription amount of $373, equivalent to 1,000 Emirati dirhams, and will be delivered through an IPO-style subscription framework, state-run news agency WAM reported.

The media body said that details of the debut issuance, including its profit rate, tenor and subscription period will be announced shortly. However, it added that the Shariah-compliant instrument will be traded on Nasdaq Dubai following its listing. 

“This will support greater participation by individual investors in local capital markets, enable them to trade sukuk within a regulated marketplace, and provide enhanced flexibility in managing their investments after the subscription and allocation stages,” the statement added. 

Emirates NBD Bank has been appointed as the lead receiving bank, whilst Emirates Islamic Bank, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, Ajman Bank, and Mashreq Bank will serve as receiving banks.

The programme will add to the government’s investment product ecosystem, enabling individual investors to diversify their investment portfolios through a sovereign-backed instrument. 

Mohamed bin Hadi Al Hussaini, minister of state for financial affairs, said that the programme fosters a culture of saving, financial planning, and long-term investment. 

Islamic Finance
SGIE Report 2026: Islamic finance transitions from steady growth to deeper maturity

Islamic finance plays a central role in the broader Islamic economic system, offering financial tools and institutions that support investment, trade, and halal economic activities across sectors.

In 2025, the industry has moved from a phase of steady growth to one of deeper maturity and faster digital adoption. Last year saw a shift from incrementalism to ecosystem building, driven by the strategic adoption of emerging digital architectures reshaping financial and real-economy ecosystems. 

The scale of the Islamic finance opportunity has expanded beyond simple asset accumulation to encompass depth, liquidity, and product diversity.

Global Islamic finance assets were valued at approximately $6.0 trillion in 2024/25, reflecting 20.6% growth from $4.9 trillion in the previous year. The sector’s trajectory suggests a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.2%, targeting a valuation of $9.7 trillion by 2029, according to the new State of the Global Islamic Economy report. 

Major Islamic finance markets are using policy reforms, new institutions, and capital market tools to strengthen their Islamic finance systems this year.

Multilateral institutions are also playing an important role in the Islamic finance ecosystem by setting standards, providing financing, and helping countries build the legal and technical foundations for growth.

One of the most consequential developments in 2025 was the strategic pause in the implementation of AAOIFI Shariah Standard 62 on Sukuk. 

Targeted sukuk, government programs, and structured social finance initiatives are helping direct capital toward development goals.

Early-stage and growth capital continued to flow into Islamic fintech, consumer finance, and platform-based business models, supporting the development of new financial products and services that serve the broader Islamic economy.

Fintech activity in Islamic finance focused on regulated growth this year. Key themes include new licensing frameworks, sandbox approvals, digital bank launches, and clearer rules for digital assets.

Islamic social finance, including waqf, Zakat, and microfinance, is moving from informal charity to structured programs with clearer governance and delivery models. These tools connect Islamic finance to social development goals and can mobilise resources that sit outside the formal banking system. 

Innovation in Islamic finance is shifting from one-off pilot projects to market-ready structures and rules that can
be repeated and scaled. These innovations often connect Islamic finance to other sectors, such as real estate
and trade, by creating new ways to structure compliant investment products.

Meanwhile, social impact is becoming a more visible part of Islamic finance.
 

Islamic Finance
Talent shortage stymies AI ambitions of regional banks

Banks across the Middle East & Africa lack artificial intelligence specialists required to industrialize the technology across institutions, a new study has identified.

Talent remains the core deterrent to scaling AI initiatives across MEA banks, as the region continues to face relevant personnel shortages, the Evident AI MEA Index report has revealed.

UAE lenders have emerged as best performing banks in Evident’s AI index for banks - MEA, assessing 25 of the largest Middle Eastern and African banks on the quality of their talent stacks, their innovation efforts, the tech leadership of their top executives and the guardrails they’ve set up to govern AI effectively.

UAE-based Emirates NBD leads all banks in the Middle East and Africa on AI maturity, edging out local peer First Abu Dhabi bank, the UAE’s largest bank by assets, which ranked third.

South Africa's Standard Bank Group and Nedbank Group, which ranked second and fourth respectively, have prioritized customer preferences and behaviours in their AI deployment.

Source: Evident AI Index Rankings - June 2026

Emirati and South African lenders dominating the index have emphasized high-impact processes such as payment processing, onboarding, risk analytics and customer advisory.

Emirates NBD has hasnt concentrated as many resource on R&D or experimentation as other lenders and instead has opted for deployment and scale. The lender has more AI staff focused on software implementation and product management – roles critical to connecting AI to business goals – than any other bank ranked, and has reported tangible results - over 98,000 AI-enabled interviews helped save 13,000 recruiter hours and around $400,000.

First Abu Dhabi Bank has focused on scaled enterprise deployment, having automated 50% of its cross-border payments, while AI advisors have helped increase revenue per relationship manager by 30%.

Saudi Arabia’s Al Rajhi (#9), Dubai-based Mashreq Bank (#10), Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (#12), Qatar National Bank (#16), National Bank of Kuwait (#18) and Dubai Islamic Bank (#21) made it to the index.  

Yet a dearth of specialist AI personnel is limiting the technology’s proliferation, forcing banks to rely heavily on imported expertise. MEA banks employ an average of 300+ AI professionals, compared to a global benchmark of more than 1,750.

Within MEA, AI development staff account for 0.49% of the overall employee base. Not only is the density of regional talent pools significantly below the global benchmark of 0.9%, but they are also unevenly distributed, higher in South Africa (0.95%) and much lower in the UAE (0.29%), Kuwait (0.29%) and Saudi Arabia (0.16%).

Furthermore, MEA banks are increasingly exposed to the global AI talent squeeze, the report said, “compounded by geopolitical instability and structural labour market pressures”.

Most banks invest in AI training programs, but these are not at parity and lag behind global standards.

“Beyond employee training, banks are actively responding to AI talent constraints through internal capability-building efforts that include executive education programs, internal AI events, and targeted graduate or internship pathways. At present, such investments remain uneven and fragmented across the cohort,” the study added.

The World Economic Forum estimates that AI investments across banking, insurance, capital markets and payment businesses will reach $97 billion by 2027.

Islamic Finance
Islamic finance sector growth to slow down to 5-10% globally

The global Islamic finance industry will continue to grow in 2026, but the momentum may ease as the effects of the Middle Eastern war continue to drain regional economies and industries.

The global Islamic finance industry growth is expected to slow down to about 5%-10% this year, following an expansion of 10.2% in 2025, S&P Global Ratings said on Monday. 

The Middle East war has significantly affected the economic growth outlook in some core Islamic finance countries, reducing sukuk issuance and growth opportunities for their banking systems, the rating agency said. 

“We expect global Islamic finance industry growth to slow in 2026 before recovering in 2027, assuming a resolution of the Middle East war and the gradual normalization of oil and gas supply, trade, and transportation.”

The outlook is predicated on the assumption that the US and Iran will reach an agreement to ease the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz by end of May, resume the flow of oil and other products.  

The war has weakened the economic growth prospects of most GCC countries, which will inevitably result in lower growth opportunities for their banking systems, including Islamic banks.

Regional governments have rolled out support measures to shore up their domestic banking and financial services industries. The UAE Central Bank announced a support package for banks on March 17, which drove loan deferrals to near $1.7 billion by May 1.

Qatar also introduced a slew of measures to underpin its banking sector, including unlimited repurchase facilities in local currencies against securities held by lenders, as well as a term repo facility with three-month maturities.

Sukuk issuances by the six Gulf states increased 13.1% year-on-year in the first four months of 2026, underpinned by local currency issuance in Saudi Arabia. 

Saudi Arabia has expedited debt issuance as contends with lower oil receipts and funding requirements for its Vision 2030 projects. The kingdom raised $644 million (2.42 billion Saudi riyals) through its May sukuk issuance, scaling back monumentally from  16.946 billion Saudi riyals raised in April. 

Global sukuk issuance also rose by 20% from January through April this year, with contributions from Malaysia, Türkiye, and Indonesia, the agency said. 

“The resolution of the Middle East war will determine whether or not this trend continues, as the GCC accounted for 45% of global sukuk issuance in 2025,” added Mohamed Damak, Head of Islamic Finance at S&P Global Ratings. 
 


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