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Azerbaijan, Türkiye explore boosting tourism cooperation

Türkiye and Azerbaijan have signed a tourism cooperation protocol to explore ways of boosting tourism and enhancing collaboration within international entities. 

The 5th meeting of the Azerbaijan–Türkiye Joint Tourism Working Group, held in Antalya, focused on bilateral tourism cooperation, collaboration within international organizations and tourism education, managing coastal areas for tourism purposes, winter, health, and gastronomy tourism.

Ways of improving the legislative framework for sustainable tourism were also discussed, according to Azerbaijan’s state news agency. 

The discussions emphasized on cooperation mechanisms between the public and private sectors, managing regional tourism and cultural heritage, enhancing experience and information exchange in marketing and promotion, and drafting a joint action program for 2026.

The officials explored cooperation within the UN Tourism, the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO), the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), D 8, and the Organization of Turkic States (OTS).

The meeting also addressed cooperation in COP31, the 31st session of the climate change conference to be held in Turkiye later this year. Azerbaijan hosted COP29 in November 2024. 

It was noted that, for the first time in COP history, tourism was included in the thematic agenda, and an agreement was reached to share Azerbaijan’s experience in this area with Türkiye.
 

Islamic Finance
Pakistan approves first Shariah-compliant credit guarantee

Pakistan’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SECP) has approved the country’s first Shariah-compliant credit risk-sharing product, aimed at improving access to financing for micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) and the agriculture sector, the regulator said on Saturday.

The product, developed by the National Credit Guarantee Company Limited (NCGCL), introduces a risk-sharing mechanism designed to reduce credit exposure for financial institutions while remaining aligned with Islamic finance principles. It offers an alternative to conventional credit guarantees, which are typically interest-based.

According to the regulator, the product, which has not yet been formally named, is structured as a Takaful-based credit guarantee built on the principle of tabarru. It has also advised NCGCL to introduce a brand identity and consider establishing an Islamic window to offer similar solutions.

The SECP’s Shariah Advisory Committee reviewed and approved the structure, confirming its compliance with key Islamic finance principles, while recommending stronger governance and documentation frameworks to support implementation.

The approval comes as Pakistan accelerates efforts to transition its financial system toward Shariah compliance, following a 2022 directive by the Federal Shariat Court to eliminate interest-based banking by 2027. Authorities have since introduced reforms, including legal amendments and the expansion of sukuk issuances to replace conventional government debt instruments.

According to the SECP, the new product is expected to support financial inclusion and responsible lending by enabling banks and financial institutions to extend financing to underserved segments of the economy.

OIC Economies
Iran war may cost Arab countries up to $200 billion, says UN

Arab countries could suffer staggering losses of up to $200 billion due to the Iran conflict, according to a new United Nations study.  

The US-Israel war against Iran could cost Arab states between $120 billion to $194 billion in economic losses, new estimates by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) suggest.

Military escalation could wipe out between 3.7%-6% of the region’s collective gross domestic product (GDP). Coupled with an estimated loss of 3.6 million jobs - exceeding the ones created in the region last year - the reversal will cast up to 4 million people into poverty. 

The body said that it conducted five simulation scenarios, representing escalating levels of conflicts. The GCC countries and Levant subregions are expected to bear the brunt of the largest macroeconomic losses, with potential economic contractions of up to 8.5% and 8.7%, respectively. 

The crisis is expected to exacerbate poverty in the Levant region by 5%, edging an additional 2.85-3.30 million people into poverty - accounting for over 75 percent of the rise in poverty across the region. 

“This crisis rings alarm bells for countries of the region to fundamentally reevaluate their strategic choices of fiscal, sectoral, and social policies,” said Abdallah Al Dardari, UN assistant secretary general and regional bureau director for Arab States at UNDP. 

“Our findings underline the pressing need to strengthen regional collaboration to diversify economies - beyond reliance on growth driven by hydrocarbons, and to expand production bases, secure trade and logistics systems.” 

Qatar and Kuwait could witness a 14% contraction in their national outputs this year should the conflict continue through to the end of April, Bloomberg reported Goldman Sachs Group economist Farouk Soussa, as saying. 

It is a stark downside from International Monetary Fund’s growth estimates for both countries in the run-up to the conflict. The agency projected Qatar’s GDP to grow by 6.1% in 2026 and Kuwait’s economy to expand by 3.8% this year.  

The conflict, now in its fifth week, has caused considerable damage to Iranian civilian and military architecture caused by the joint US-Israeli onslaught. The attacks also wiped out its top Iranian security and political echelons. 

Iran has carried out retaliatory attacks on its Gulf neighbours, causing substantial damage to airports, hotels, technology, and energy infrastructure as well as military bases. 

The repercussions are visible in global energy markets, with the crisis helping push Brent crude prices from roughly $72 per barrel to nearly $120 before easing slightly. 

The regional aviation industry has also felt the heat, with depressed travel demand and a lingering unease among travellers. 

“Since the escalation at end February 2026, the regional aviation network has shifted from an integrated commercial system to a set of restricted corridors, with several countries implementing partial or full airspace closures. As a result, global air cargo capacity on routes linking Asia, the Middle East, and Europe declined by nearly 40% between February 28 and March 3,” the study added. 
 

Islamic Finance
Qatar backs lenders as regional war threatens stability

Qatar has introduced a slew of measures to underpin its banking sector, as the war in Iran continues to stall industries, erode investor confidence and dent customer demand. 

Qatar Central Bank (QCB) will offer unlimited repurchase facilities in Qatari riyal denominations against securities held by lenders. The Central Bank will also introduce a term repo facility with three-month maturities, complementing its existing overnight repo facility.  

The new term repo facility will enable banks to manage cash flow with greater certainty during the current period, the central bank said in a statement Sunday.

Reserve requirements on deposits have been trimmed from 4.5% to 3.5%. In terms of borrowing ease, banks have been permitted to ease loan and interest payments for up to three months for customers affected by “current circumstances”, the statement added.  

The central bank directive comes weeks after the UAE’s Central Bank announced a raft of measures to boost liquidity within the local banking sector. Lenders were permitted to access reserve balances of up to 30% of the cash reserve requirement and were granted temporary relief in liquidity and stable funding ratios for greater flexibility, too.

Banks have reportedly not experienced any significant funding outflows, according to S&P Global Ratings. 

“We understand that major outflows of foreign or local funding have not yet occurred. That said, if the war persists, it’s possible there could be some flight to quality between banks within the same systems, as well as external or local funding outflows,” the report read. 

The rating agency said that the full impact on banks’ asset quality indicators will take time to materialize. 

“Overall, we expect some deterioration in banks' financial performance in 2026, the extent of which will depend on the conflict’s duration and impact on local economies.”
 

Islamic Finance
UAE lends support to banks as regional conflict continues

The UAE Central Bank has rolled out a resilience package to support the 1.1 trillion-dollar local banking sector and boost liquidity as the ripple effects of the ongoing Iran conflict continue to spread across the region’s financial sector. 

The measures permit lenders to access reserve balances of up to 30% of the cash reserve requirement and availability of term liquidity facilities in both dirham and dollar denominations. Banks have been granted temporary relief in liquidity and stable funding ratios for greater flexibility. 

The initiative is also offering the temporary release of the countercyclical capital and capital conservation buffers. Banks can also delay classifying retail and corporate customer loans affected by “extraordinary circumstances” as non-performing, according to a statement issued Tuesday. 

The statement pointed at the liquidity and capital strength of the banking sector, with the overall liquidity held at the central bank and net eligible assets for its operations totalling close to $250 billion, of which banks’ reserve balances alone exceed $109 billion. 

The central bank, which oversees foreign exchange reserves of more than $270 billion, confirmed the banking sector’s health and payment systems suffered “no material impact”. 

The UAE has borne the brunt of Iranian retaliation to the joint US-Israeli onslaught that has led to the death of its Supreme Commander and top Iranian security and political echelons. 

The conflict, which entered its 18th day Wednesday, resulted in damage to the country’s energy, aviation and economic infrastructure. Residential and commercial buildings were also damaged by debris. 

The UAE has intercepted and engaged 334 ballistic missiles, 15 cruise missiles and 1,714 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) since the beginning of the conflict on February 28. The conflict has resulted in the deaths of two servicemen and six civilians, with minor to severe injuries to 158 people, according to data supplied by the country’s defence ministry. 

Many banks in the GCC region have activated their business continuity plans, including shifting staff to remote work and reducing the number of branches open, as Iran declared regional lenders as viable targets in response to an attack on Tehran bank. Several UAE lenders experience disruptions to their services such as access to mobile apps and online services. 

Banks have reportedly not experienced any significant funding outflows, according to S&P Global Ratings. 

“We understand that major outflows of foreign or local funding have not yet occurred. That said, if the war persists, it’s possible there could be some flight to quality between banks within the same systems, as well as external or local funding outflows,” the report read. 

The rating agency said that the full impact on banks’ asset quality indicators will take time to materialize. 

“Overall, we expect some deterioration in banks' financial performance in 2026, the extent of which will depend on the conflict’s duration and impact on local economies.”
 

Islamic Finance
Dubai stocks hit 11-month low after Iran strike on airport

Dubai’s main stock index fell to an 11-month low on Monday after an Iranian strike on Dubai airport deepened investor concerns about the escalating regional conflict, triggering broad selling across UAE markets.

The benchmark index of the Dubai Financial Market dropped 3.5% to 5,235 points, its lowest close since April 2025. The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange also declined during trading before recovering some losses, ending the day down 0.2% after late buying activity.

The latest market decline follows the escalation of hostilities after the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran on February 28. Since then, Dubai’s benchmark has fallen about 19.5%, while Abu Dhabi’s index has dropped around 9.5%.

Iran has also closed the Strait of Hormuz, a key route through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supply normally passes, and has carried out attacks on civilian and military targets in countries hosting US forces, including the UAE, Qatar and Bahrain.

The airport strike added to concerns that the conflict could disrupt travel, trade and economic activity in the UAE, prompting investors to reduce exposure to sectors tied to tourism, property and banking.

Selling pressure was strongest in real estate and financial stocks. According to sources, shares in Emaar Properties fell 4.9%, while Aldar Properties declined 3.5%. According to market calculations, the two developers have lost about $21 billion in combined market value this month as investors reassess demand for property in the region.

Banking stocks also weakened. Emirates NBD dropped 1.7%, Dubai Islamic Bank fell 3%, and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank declined 4.9%. Other Gulf markets showed more moderate movements, with Saudi Arabia’s index on the Saudi Exchange rising 0.3% by mid-session trading.

Saudi Arabia may be less affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz because the state oil company Saudi Aramco can export up to two-thirds of its crude through pipelines to the Red Sea.

In contrast, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain rely heavily on the waterway for oil exports. According to Goldman Sachs estimates, if the conflict continues at current levels until the end of April, oil output could decline 12% in Saudi Arabia and 16% in the UAE, while Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait could see production drop by more than 25%.

The weaker outlook has also weighed on other Gulf markets. Qatar’s stock index fell 1.2% to a nine-month low, while Kuwait’s market slipped 0.4%.


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