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OIC Economies
Pakistan repays $2bn to UAE amid ongoing external financing pressures

Pakistan has repaid $2 billion to the United Arab Emirates under maturing bilateral deposits, as the country navigates external financing pressures and debt obligations, a central bank official said on Saturday.

The repayment forms part of a broader $3.5 billion due to the UAE by the end of April, as authorities work to stabilize foreign exchange reserves with support from allied countries and an International Monetary Fund (IMF) program.

The outflow comes at a time when Pakistan’s reserves remain under pressure. As of March 27, foreign exchange reserves stood at $16.4 billion, covering roughly three months of imports. The repayment coincided with $1.4 billion in Eurobond obligations during the same period, highlighting ongoing strain on the country’s balance of payments.

To manage liquidity, Pakistan has relied on financial support from partner countries. Earlier this week, Saudi Arabia deposited $2 billion with the State Bank of Pakistan and agreed to extend the maturity of a separate $3 billion deposit, providing short-term relief to reserves.

Pakistan has also received financial backing from China and other partners as it works to meet conditions under its $7 billion IMF programme, which requires maintaining adequate reserve levels.

Officials have previously described repayments to the UAE as routine transactions under bilateral agreements, although they come amid tighter external conditions and ongoing financing needs.

Looking ahead, Pakistan is exploring a mix of funding options, including Eurobonds, Islamic sukuk, commercial borrowing and bilateral support, to manage upcoming repayments and maintain reserve stability.

Islamic Finance
Pakistan raises $390m through inaugural hybrid Sukuk issuance

Pakistan has raised $390 million through its first hybrid Sukuk issuance, the finance ministry said on Thursday, marking a new addition to the country’s Shariah-compliant debt instruments.

The Sukuk, issued through an auction process in collaboration with the State Bank of Pakistan, Pakistan Stock Exchange and Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan, combines two Islamic financing structures — Ijarah Sale and Lease Back (SLB) and Commodity Murabaha.

The hybrid Sukuk allocates 55% of proceeds to Ijarah SLB and 45% to Commodity Murabaha, providing a mix of asset-backed leasing and cost-plus financing structures.

The issuance included a one-year fixed-rate discounted Sukuk and a 10-year variable rental rate (VRR) Sukuk. The one-year instrument was priced at 11.80%, while the 10-year VRR Sukuk was set at 11.7185%.

According to the ministry, the offering attracted bids exceeding the target, with total subscriptions reaching 1.45 times the initial $718 million target.

Officials said the hybrid structure is expected to broaden investor participation and deepen Pakistan’s domestic Islamic debt market.

Khaliq Uz Zaman, director of domestic debt at the Finance Ministry, described the issuance as a milestone for the sector, adding that it could help diversify the investor base and support efforts to reduce borrowing costs over time.

Murabaha structures involve the sale of assets at a disclosed cost plus a profit margin, while Ijarah contracts involve leasing assets in exchange for rental payments.

The issuance comes as Pakistan continues to expand its use of Shariah-compliant instruments to meet government financing needs and develop its Islamic finance ecosystem.

OIC Economies
Middle East growth hardest hit from Iran war, IMF says

Growth across the Middle East and North Africa region has bore the biggest brunt of the Iran conflict, significantly eroding regional output and progress. 

The MENA region’s growth is expected to slow down to 1.1% in 2026, from 3.2% last year, before recovering to 4.8% in 2027, as the region faces the most direct impact of the current war, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has estimated. The region's 2026 growth forecast has been lowered by 2.8 percentage points from the fund's January projections. 

For commodity exporters directly affected by the conflict, diminished production and exports imply a severe downward revision of GDP growth projections for 2026, the fund said in its latest World Economic Output (WEO) update released this week. 

“The contraction of GDP growth for 2026 is therefore more pronounced for Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar and less significant for Oman, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates," the IMF said in its report. 

"For all these economies, growth in 2027 is expected to rebound, based on the assumption that energy production and transportation are normalized over the next few months - an assumption that may need to be revised if the duration of the conflict extends and the degree of damage suffered gets reassessed.”

The fund lowered estimates for Saudi Arabia’s GDP forecast for 2026 by 1.4 percentage point relative to January, to 3.1%, while revising it upward by 0.9 percentage point, to 4.5% for 2027.

Iran is among the worst hit countries in terms of downward growth revision, with its economy revised downward by 7.2 percentage points compared to IMF's January estimate, to -6.1% before rising sharply to 3.2% in 2027. 

In Egypt, growth is projected to slow to 4.2% in 2026 and recover to 4.8% in 2027, a cumulative downward revision of 1.1 percentage points.

"For commodity importers in the MENA, the terms-of-trade shock from higher commodity prices contributes to a somewhat modest downward revision of growth projections in 2026 and 2027, with some differentiation as a result of varying exposures to imports of energy, energy derivatives, and food items, as well as different economic trajectories before the conflict erupted," the report read. 

The fund has estimated global and regional growth under several operating scenarios. Under the assumption that the conflict will be relatively short-lived, global growth is expected to slow down to 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027, down from 3.4% achieved last year. 

In case of a more protracted conflict, in which production and transport activities may take longer to resume than anticipated, the fund has taken two downside scenarios in consideration. 

In the adverse scenario - where oil prices would spike 80% and gas prices for Europe and Asia would rise 160% by the second quarter relative to the fund’s January baseline, as well as one-year-ahead inflation would soar by 50 basis points across advanced economies and 90 basis points in emerging markets by 2027 – global growth is estimated to drop to 2.5% in 2026 before rising to 3% next year. 

Global growth is estimated at 2% in 2026 and 2.2% in 2027 under a severe scenario in which oil prices would double while gas prices would rise 200% starting in the second quarter of 2026 relatively to the January WEO update baseline. Such a scenario would see one-year-ahead inflation spiking 100 basis points in advanced economies and 130 basis points in emerging markets by 2027. 

“The current hostilities in the Middle East pose immediate policy trade-offs: between fighting inflation and preserving growth and between supporting those affected by the rising cost of living and rebuilding fiscal buffers. Amid frequent global shocks, countries need to calibrate policies to ensure that they not only step up to the moment but also stand up to the next test,” the fund added. 

Islamic Finance
EBRD boosts Palestinian trade with $10m facility for Arab Islamic Bank

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has increased its trade finance facility to Arab Islamic Bank by an additional $5 million, bringing the total limit to $10 million to support Palestinian import and export activity.

The expanded financing, provided under the EBRD’s Trade Facilitation Programme (TFP), aims to enhance trade flows between the West Bank and international markets at a time when access to global banking services remains constrained.

“The expanded limit to AIB will facilitate further trade flows between the West Bank and international markets, enabling the issuance of trade finance instruments,” the EBRD said in a statement, highlighting the bank’s role in supporting the resilience of the local financial sector.

AIB joined the TFP in 2023 with an initial limit of $2 million, which has since been increased twice in response to the bank’s growing trade finance activity. The facility has been used to support several transactions, including the import of essential goods such as food and medical equipment.

AIB is the largest Islamic bank operating in the West Bank and Gaza and is a subsidiary of Bank of Palestine, an EBRD client since 2020. Through the programme, AIB has gained access to a global network of more than 100 issuing banks and over 800 confirming banks. Its staff have also participated in EBRD-led training and workshops on trade finance best practices.

Launched in 1999, the EBRD’s Trade Facilitation Programme supports international trade by providing guarantees and short-term financing to participating banks and factoring companies, enabling them to extend funding to local exporters, importers and distributors.

Since commencing operations in the West Bank and Gaza in 2017, the EBRD has approved 38 projects with a total investment volume of €196.5 million, underscoring its ongoing commitment to strengthening the Palestinian financial sector and facilitating economic activity.

OIC Economies
UAE invests $95m in Türkiye at the start of year

The United Arab Emirates was among the top three investors in Türkiye at the beginning of the year. 

The Gulf state invested $95 million in the first two months of the year, behind Germany, which invested $198 million and the Netherlands that ploughed $118 million, state-run Anadolu Agency reported, citing data from the Association of International Investors. 

European Union (EU) countries accounted for 35% of inbound FDIs in February, which totalled $780 million. The UAE held the largest share by country at 18%, ahead of Singapore and the US at 15% each, Germany (14%) and Spain (9%).  

The recent injection helped drive total FDI inflows to more than $289 billion since 2003. EU countries were Turkiye’s biggest investors during the 2003-2025 period, constituting 59% of the total investor pool. 

FDI inflows to Türkiye stood at $10.4 billion in 2023, slipping from $13.4 billion received in 2022, according to UNCTAD's World Investment Report 2024.

“Türkiye’s investment climate is positively influenced by its favourable demographics and strategic geographical position, providing access to multiple regional markets, and has one of the most liberal legal regimes for FDI among OECD members,” according to Lloyds Bank. 

The country has adopted a series of legislative reforms to facilitate the reception of foreign investment, such as the creation of the Investment Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Türkiye, it added. 

Turkiye’s economy is projected to grow at 3.4% this year and 3.5% in 2027, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 
The fund lowered Turkiye’s GDP forecast in its latest World Economic Outlook report, down 0.8 percentage points from its January 2026 WEO update.

The downward revision was due to weaker than expected growth in 2025, with high oil and gas prices weighing on economic activity. 
 

Islamic Lifestyle
GCC tourism could take $32bn hit from Iran conflict  

Tourism revenues losses in the GCC resulting from the US-Israel war against Iran could range between $13 and $22 billion, the GCC secretary-general has said. 

Tourist figures are expected to plunge between 8 and 19 million due to military escalation in the region, state news agency WAM quoted Jasem Albudaiwi as saying. 

Speaking at an extraordinary meeting of the committee of the GCC Ministers of Tourism held on Tuesday, Albudaiwi said that the challenges facing Gulf nations are no longer “a passing circumstance” but rather a true test of the GCC’s ability to ensure continued efficiency and stability of its sectors. 

Data from the Gulf Statistical Centre suggests that GCC countries collectively received more than 72 million tourists in 2025, netting in nearly $120 billion in revenues. 

“The developments we are witnessing today have cast a shadow over the vital tourism sector, impacting travel patterns, the pace of tourism activity and the stability of related markets," he said. 

“[The] escalation necessitates that we all move from traditional coordination to a higher level of practical integration and proactive response, given that the tourism sector in the GCC countries is a fundamental pillar for achieving economic sustainability."

The GCC secretary-general also pointed out that experience has proven that the GCC countries are capable of overcoming all crises and challenges efficiently and effectively, relying on their close ties and effective integration across all fields.

The escalating conflict in Iran is costing the Middle East’s travel and tourism sector a minimum of $600 million per day in international visitor spending, the World Travel & Tourism Council estimated last month. 

Key regional aviation hubs including Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha and Bahrain, which collectively process around 526,000 passengers per day, experienced closures and operational disruption amid heightening tension and escalating conflict. 
 

Islamic Lifestyle
Azerbaijan, Türkiye explore boosting tourism cooperation

Türkiye and Azerbaijan have signed a tourism cooperation protocol to explore ways of boosting tourism and enhancing collaboration within international entities. 

The 5th meeting of the Azerbaijan–Türkiye Joint Tourism Working Group, held in Antalya, focused on bilateral tourism cooperation, collaboration within international organizations and tourism education, managing coastal areas for tourism purposes, winter, health, and gastronomy tourism.

Ways of improving the legislative framework for sustainable tourism were also discussed, according to Azerbaijan’s state news agency. 

The discussions emphasized on cooperation mechanisms between the public and private sectors, managing regional tourism and cultural heritage, enhancing experience and information exchange in marketing and promotion, and drafting a joint action program for 2026.

The officials explored cooperation within the UN Tourism, the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO), the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), D 8, and the Organization of Turkic States (OTS).

The meeting also addressed cooperation in COP31, the 31st session of the climate change conference to be held in Turkiye later this year. Azerbaijan hosted COP29 in November 2024. 

It was noted that, for the first time in COP history, tourism was included in the thematic agenda, and an agreement was reached to share Azerbaijan’s experience in this area with Türkiye.
 


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