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OIC Economies
Turkey cuts growth, raises inflation forecast as Gulf war weighs on economy

Turkey has sharply revised down its economic projections for the next three years, blaming the Gulf war and global uncertainty for pushing inflation well above target and slowing growth across key industries.

The government's medium-term programme for 2027 to 2029, presented in Ankara, by Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz, lowers the 2026 growth forecast to 3.3% from 3.8% and raises year-end inflation projection from 16% to more than 28%.

Vice President Yılmaz further added that seven percentage points of that inflation increase are directly attributable to the regional conflict.

"The effects of the war in our region are felt in many areas. In addition to tariff increases, global uncertainties are also affecting the medium-term programme," Yılmaz said, adding that decreased predictability in the global economy had compounded the challenge.
Read:
BYD suspends $1bn Turkiye EV Plant, pivots to Hungary

Growth estimates for 2027 and 2028 have also been cut, and the programme foresees a widening of both the current account and trade deficits. Industrial growth is now projected at 2.3% this year, well below the previous forecast of 4%, as austerity measures — combining high interest rates and credit restrictions to curb import demand — and weaker overseas demand squeeze the sector.

Yılmaz said inflation was expected to ease through 2027 to 2029, though more slowly than projected in the previous programme.

The programme also faces a potential political disruption. The government could call early presidential and parliamentary elections in 2027, a year ahead of schedule, according to Hayri Kozanoğlu, an economist at Altınbaş University in Istanbul. He warned that pre-election spending increases and rate cuts could reignite inflation and undermine the government's disinflationary strategy.

OIC Economies
OIC Economies
Wahed, SEDCO Capital launch real estate partnership for Makkah, Madinah

New York-headquartered Islamic fintech company Wahed has partnered with SEDCO Capital to launch a Shariah-compliant real estate investment suite across Makkah and Madinah.

The partnership will give eligible investors, including visitors and residents, an opportunity to invest in a portfolio of real estate across the two holy cities. Saudi Arabia aims to welcome 30 million Umrah pilgrims annually by 2030, complemented by a broader investment program to improve the overall pilgrim experience. 

The partnership can help direct private capital toward real assets that can help meet the needs of residents, pilgrims and visitors, Wahed said in a statement.

It will also expand the pool of investable, professionally managed real estate to overseas retail investors, without requiring them to source and manage individual properties. 

The partnership aligns with the kingdom’s Vision 2030 goals of attracting international investment, increasing private-sector participation, deepening Saudi capital markets and supporting the growth of real estate and tourism sectors.

"Over the years, one question has come up again and again from Wahed clients around the world: how can I invest in Makkah and Madinah? For most people, there has never been a straightforward answer. This partnership is designed to change that,” said Mohsin Siddiqui, CEO of Wahed. 

“Together, we want to give everyday investors a credible, Shariah-compliant way to participate in the long-term growth of cities that mean so much to them."

Saudi Arabia has eased property investment laws in the two most revered cities in the world in an attempt to beckon additional foreign investment. 

The kingdom permitted foreigners to invest in publicly-traded companies owning real estate in Makkah and Medinah, but capped the ownership level at 49%. 

Read: Saudi Arabia permits foreigners to invest in listed property companies in holy cities 

"Makkah and Madinah are at the heart of the kingdom's most important transformations. The investment taking place is about meeting the needs of growing numbers global demand while creating lasting economic opportunity,” said Abdulwahhab Abed, CEO of SEDCO Capital. 

SEDCO Capital, a global, Shariah-compliant, and ESG-led asset management and investment advisory firm. Its assets under management totals more than SAR 50 billion.

Read: Saudi Arabia seeks private investors for $135m Medina ferris wheel
 

Islamic Finance
LEAP 2026: Riyadh's tech show closes with $15 billion and a bigger stage

LEAP 2026, held August 31–September 3 in Riyadh and organized by Tahaluf under the theme "Into New Worlds," closed with over $15 billion in investments and partnerships, a sign Saudi Arabia is moving from tech showcase to tech builder. The fifth edition drew over 1,500 exhibitors from 72 countries, 1,323 speakers, and 1,397 investors from 1,027 firms managing $18.3 trillion in assets.

Scale, stakes, and strategy
Opening-day attendance alone included 1,289 investors from 1,016 firms representing $14.5 trillion in assets, a figure that grew by the final day.Communications Minister Abdullah Alswaha called it "the largest technology movement of the 21st century," citing over $44 billion in investment across LEAP's first four Riyadh editions.

Since LEAP's debut in 2022, Saudi Arabia's digital economy has grown from $118 billion to $199 billion, a 69% increase, with women now making up 36% of the tech workforce.

HUMAIN, the Public Investment Fund-backed AI company, anchored nearly every major deal: a $5 billion joint pledge with AWS for an "AWS HUMAIN AI Zone," one of AMD's largest inference clusters outside the US, and deepened ties with Microsoft and Cisco. xAI announced a Saudi data center starting at 50 megawatts and scaling toward 500 MW, part of the push for sovereign compute capacity.

Arabic AI takes the lead
The most closely watched unveiling was HUMAIN M3, a frontier Arabic-language model commissioned by HUMAIN and built by MiniMax on the MiniMax-M3 lineage: a 428-billion-parameter mixture-of-experts model pre-trained on over one trillion Arabic-native tokens, scoring 89.37% across seven public Arabic benchmarks, the highest among frontier models tested. HUMAIN made it available in research preview via HUMAIN Node ahead of a planned open-weight release.

The company also introduced HUMAIN Voice, a conversational platform for Saudi, Maghrebi, Egyptian, and Levantine dialects and a bet that Arab AI adoption will not run on English-first models retrofitted for Arabic. It integrated HUMAIN ONE with Microsoft 365, targeting a million users across the Middle East and Africa, and partnered with Applied Intuition on autonomous trucking, aiming to deploy thousands of self-driving vehicles on Saudi logistics routes by 2030.
 

Infrastructure, power, and localization
Al Moammar Information Systems (MIS) committed $1.2 billion to expand data-center capacity; NHC Innovation added $800 million to the Khuzam Digital Valley. Adobe pledged over $4 billion to a creative-industries partnership, including 12 months of free access to Firefly Standard and Express Premium for over 27 million eligible Saudi residents, plus a Firefly Foundry model built for Saudi culture and Arabic prompts. Microsoft's Azure region goes live in November 2026, AWS's in December.

None of it works without power. Saudi Energy signed agreements at LEAP to supply it: National Grid SA will electrify a HUMAIN data center in Riyadh, and Saudi Electricity's PDC arm partnered with center3 and Huawei on future data-center, energy, and AI-facility projects. These rarely make headlines alongside AI announcements, but they underpin the larger compute build-out.

AMD, Cisco, and HUMAIN switched on AMD's largest active inference cluster outside the US, running Instinct MI355X GPUs over Cisco Silicon One networking. HUMAIN plans to deploy 13,000 AMD GPUs this year, add up to 250 MW from 2027, and reach 1 GW by 2030 as a joint venture. It also launched an NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra (HGX B300) AI cloud, already at roughly 1.1 MW and over 90% utilization, targeting about 35 MW by mid-2027.

Regional participation and sector breadth
Pakistan fielded a pavilion of 20 companies via the Pakistan Software Export Board and TDAP, with over 100 Pakistani companies and nearly 1,000 delegates taking part overall, spanning sectors from real estate and logistics to enterprise tech. Oman fielded 24 companies showcasing services, reflecting broader MENA engagement.
The event also spotlighted telecom, gaming, cybersecurity, and skills initiatives matched to labor market needs, while HUMAIN's partnership with France's Mistral AI signaled expanding international AI alliances.

Startups, prizes, and the next frontier
Over 3,000 applicants entered the Rocket Fuel pitch competition, and 100 finalists competed for a $1 million prize pool. Waspito, a Cameroon-based AI healthcare company, took the $250,000 grand prize (the LEAP Award), with five other finalists splitting the remainder. The newly launched AIMAGINEX initiative, a $104 million hub for AI-powered immersive media backed by the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Nourah Cloud, and SeeCubic, signaled where Saudi Arabia wants its next tech investment to land.

What's next?
A sixth edition is set for April 12-15, 2027, with 653 startups already signed up to pitch before the doors open.Tahaluf co-creator Mike Champion framed the week's ambition plainly: "deepening its international reach, creating greater opportunities for companies and founders to access capital and new markets."

Islamic Finance
IsDB, Bangladesh sign $1bn financing agreement to augment domestic refining capacity

Saudi-based Islamic Development Bank (IsDB) and Bangladesh have signed a $1 billion financing agreement to expand its eastern refinery project. 

The project, which is expected to be completed in five years, will add three million metric tons of annual refining capacity to reach 4.5 million metric tons per annum.

The upgraded refinery will process a broader range of crude oils and produce 15 types of refined petroleum products. It is expected to support a 5% reduction in the cost of major petroleum products and enable production to meet Euro 5 standards, replacing the current Euro 2 grade, the lender said in a statement. 

Local refining of imported crude oil is expected to save about $394 million in foreign exchange each year.

The $2.5 billion project comprises approximately $1.5 billion in contributions, including taxes, customs duty, and VAT from the Bangladesh government, complementing the $1 billion IsDB financing. 

"By expanding domestic refining capacity, the Eastern Refinery project will strengthen energy security, reduce dependence on imported refined petroleum products, and support cleaner fuel standards," said Dr. Muhammad Al Jasser, IsDB Group chairman.

This financing will help build greater economic resilience and deliver lasting benefits for businesses, workers, farmers, and households across Bangladesh, he added. 

IsDB is a multilateral development finance institution headquartered in Jeddah, focusing on Shariah-compliant financing for infrastructure and socio-economic development. 

Islamic Finance
Vision Bank announces trade financing solution to support SME cross-border trade

Vision Bank, an Abu Dhabi-based Islamic bank, has launched a Shariah-compliant trade finance solution for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) to support cross-border flows. 

The new solution will focus on providing short-term trade finance to SMEs, originated through a multi-channel approach led by platform partnerships, the bank said in a statement. 

The bank said that it aims to support SMEs that require working capital linked to real trade flows as opposed to traditional balance-sheet lending criteria. The financing solution will support a more efficient approach to SME trade finance by assessing underlying trade transactions, relevant counterparties and associated credit risks. 

“The proposition is particularly relevant for exporters and SMEs in markets such as the GCC, India, Southeast Asia and other trade-driven economies, where businesses may face limited access to competitive US dollar financing through local channels,” the lender said. 

Vision Bank Limited is a Prudential Category 1 Islamic Financial Institution registered with Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) and regulated by its Financial Services Regulatory Authority. The bank has regulatory permissions for accepting deposits, advising on investments or credit as well as providing credit, according to its website. 

“SMEs are increasingly operating across borders, platforms and supply chains, but access to short-term trade finance has not always kept pace with how these businesses work,” said Jeremy Parrish, chairman, Vision Bank.

“Vision Bank is introducing a platform-led SME financing proposition designed to support real trade flows across markets in a Shari’ah-compliant and commercially practical way.”

Vision Bank is owned by the GII Group, a Shari’ah-compliant alternative asset manager headquartered in the UAE. GII manages over $3 billion of assets across private equity, real estate, private credit and strategies on behalf of sovereign institutions, financial institutions and family offices in the GCC and internationally. 
 

Islamic Finance
Qatar Financial Centre partners with AlRayan Bank to drive Islamic finance

Qatar Financial Centre (QFC) has signed a preliminary agreement with AlRayan Bank to strengthen Islamic finance and local capital markets. 

The financial centre will promote AlRayan Bank as a strategic banking partner to licensed firms as well as encourage new QFC firms to bank with the Islamic lender. Meanwhile, AlRayan will offer customized banking services to QFC firms and their employees.

The MoU aims to support businesses through access to financial services, deeper collaboration on Islamic finance and capital markets, and knowledge-sharing programmes. It will also establish a framework for cooperation on preventing, detecting and mitigating financial crime risks, including money laundering, terrorist financing and fraud, QFC said in a statement issued Wednesday.

Mansoor Rashid Al-Khater, QFC CEO said that the partnership will help enhance the business environment for the QFC firms by expanding access to banking solutions and financial services, while fostering innovation across Islamic finance and capital markets.”

“By exploring the integration of our digital platforms, we aim to simplify account opening for QFC-registered entities, improve efficiency, and provide faster access to our banking services,” Fahad Bin Abdulla Al Khalifa, group CEO at AlRayan Bank. 

QFC has recorded sustained growth over recent years, in tandem with regional rivals such as Dubai’s DIFC and Abu Dhabi’s ADGM. It onboarded 1,135 firms during the first half of 2026, rising 37% year-on-year to bring the total registered firms to over 4,700 at the end of June. 

QFC, which ranked third across MENA and 29th overall in the Global Financial Centres Index, contributed 2.2% to Qatar’s economy in 2024. 

OIC Economies
Gulf solar imports plunge up to 90% as Iran war disrupts supply chains

Solar panel imports across the Gulf have fallen sharply since the US-Iran war began in February, with the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Oman all recording drops of more than 80% as shipping disruptions, higher freight and insurance costs and rising equipment prices hit supply chains.

The UAE averaged imports of around 100 megawatts of solar capacity per month between March and June — down nearly 90% from a monthly average of 785MW throughout 2025, according to an AGBI report, citing research group Rystad Energy. 

Saudi Arabia cut imports by 81% over the same period to 139MW, while Oman's fell 89% and Iraq's by 68%.

The slump could push solar projects back by three to 12 months, Rystad said, though it expects a rebound once trade stabilises. The overall effect, it said, is likely to be a short-term delay followed by a sharper medium-term acceleration in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Oman.

The import collapse stems primarily from disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, which was brought to a virtual standstill for weeks after the conflict began on February 28 and remains affected as a permanent reopening deal has yet to materialise. The disruption coincided with China's removal of a tax rebate on solar product exports in April, which Rystad said increased the cost of each module by 9%. A spike in silver prices — a key material in solar equipment given its high conductivity — has added further cost pressure.

The slowdown threatens to set back renewable energy targets that are central to Gulf states' long-term decarbonisation plans, which extend beyond solar to green hydrogen export ambitions worth billions of dollars. Grid integration was already a challenge before the conflict. Grid integration was already a challenge before the conflict, with Saudi Arabia struggling to integrate rapidly expanding renewable capacity into its grid even before the war compounded the delivery challenge, according to industry analysts.


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